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Latest related updates

8 JunMon
  1. Robot Wealth45

    How Independent Traders Should Allocate Resources for a Triangulated Statistical Arbitrage Business

    This article is the sixth part of a series on statistical arbitrage for independent traders. It explains the three core modules of triangulated statistical arbitrage and their resource allocation priorities. High-quality pair screening is the core foundation: using 24 months of historical data, the top 10% of pairs are screened monthly and divided into 5 quality tiers, with the best tier achieving a Sharpe ratio of 1.6 and the worst only 0.42. The author discloses only the general methodology and does not reveal specific implementation details.

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1 JunMon
  1. Robot Wealth54

    Triangulated statistical arbitrage: how to identify genuine pricing deviations rather than mispricing

    This article is the fifth in a statistical arbitrage series for independent traders, focusing on the triangulated statistical arbitrage method. Using the energy sector spread network as an example, the author explains how to cross-validate multiple overlapping spreads to identify genuinely mispriced individual stocks, rather than treating deviations in a single spread as a direct trading signal.

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22 MayFri
  1. Robot Wealth53

    From Pairs to Portfolios, Part 4: A Triangulated Statistical Arbitrage Approach for Independent Traders

    This article introduces a triangulated statistical arbitrage approach. Using 8 spread groups constructed from 6 energy stocks as an example, the z-score signal of each spread is decomposed into opposite votes for the two individual stocks, which are then aggregated into long-short signals at the individual stock level. This allows direct trading of undervalued or overvalued stocks, replacing the traditional pairs-trading model of hedging both legs simultaneously. The approach can improve capital efficiency, reduce transaction costs, and increase signal utilization, while achieving variance control similar to pairs trading through a long-short basket portfolio. The article will further explain how to evaluate the quality of aggregated signals.

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10 AprFri
  1. Robot Wealth53

    Trend or No Trend? That's the Wrong Question

    The author argues that mean reversion, trend, and momentum are merely labels for price movements rather than trading edges. A true edge requires first identifying the underlying structural cause and then validating it with data. The article uses three types of mean-reversion scenarios as examples: forced liquidation by leveraged funds, scheduled rebalancing of crypto leveraged tokens, and month-end stock-bond rebalancing by wealth management institutions. All three scenarios involve identifiable trading flows that are insensitive to price.

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