Kraken has announced the official launch of the Kraken Prop multi-account trading feature on Kraken Desktop. The feature allows users to use a single master account as the trading initiator to synchronously copy the same trade to multiple selected follower accounts. This feature is available for free with Kraken Desktop, with no additional fees.
Read originalThis study formulates and solves a stochastic control problem for Ethena protocol's core yield strategy, which generates returns through a delta-neutral combination of long stETH positions and short ETH perpetual contracts of equal size. The model takes the rate of simultaneously buying stETH and shorting perpetual contracts as the control variable, incorporating both permanent price impact and temporary execution slippage. The study solves both the infinite-horizon discounted problem and the finite-horizon problem with terminal liquidation costs, obtaining explicit optimal control solutions in both cases.
Read originalThe study addresses market-making challenges in Polymarket's thin order books, using the JaxMARL-HFT framework to train cooperative multi-agent market-making models on 417 real markets. The market-making agents are split into quoters and risk managers, trained using recurrent independent proximal policy optimization (IPPO) combined with RNN policies. Testing showed that the improved single-agent market-making model quoted more frequently and had smaller out-of-sample losses, but none of the models achieved positive average portfolio value in out-of-sample evaluation, with only single-seed training completed.
Read originalThis arXiv paper tests the degree to which 4 AI trading agents adhere to their own strategies and risk rules, based on 2627 closed trades from February 12 to August 27, 2026. 18% of the trades were live orders on Hyperliquid, while the rest were simulated at real-time prices, with a uniform round-trip fee of 0.09%.
Read originalThis study introduces LOBGrad, a conditional DDPM framework for probabilistic order book forecasting. The framework combines an autoregressive RNN encoder with a diffusion-based generator, and establishes an excess-risk oracle inequality for the single-step DDPM noise prediction objective under exponential mixing and regularity assumptions.
Read originalThe study proposes an Alpha-stable Lévy diffusion predictor called SHADE, which achieves distribution-level shrinkage through a residual stable kernel by reading outputs at non-zero depths, addressing the problem of overly narrow predictive distributions and overconfidence when Gaussian diffusion models forecast heavy-tailed time series.
Read originalQuantpedia analyzes a paper by Josh Molnar published on SSRN, noting that classic Bitcoin cycle signals such as MVRV, Mayer Multiple, and Pi Cycle Top are gradually losing effectiveness as price volatility narrows. The three mature cycle peaks occurred 525, 546, and 534 days after their respective halvings.
Read originalQuantocracy has compiled the latest quant research-related links as of October 18, 2026, covering topics including trend following, futures continuous contract construction, in-sample to out-of-sample Sharpe ratio decay, the impact of liquidity on stock returns and option pricing, and cryptocurrency cross-sectional trend factors. One study based on 12 commodity futures found that the expected retention ratio of in-sample Sharpe ratios from a 10-year backtest on new data is 30%.
Read originalThe CFTC released a proposed rule to further define the inclusion scope of the 'swap' definition and clarify the regulatory boundary of event contracts. This proposal does not further define 'security-based swaps', and the CFTC has sought the opinion of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on this proposal.
Read originalThe research team built behavioral models for three types of trading agents—rational arbitrageurs, manipulators, and retail momentum followers—based on reinforcement learning, and conducted a pilot study on hourly cryptocurrency data (AAVE, ETC, SUI). The results show that the behavioral characteristics of different agents have differentiated impacts on market pressure, liquidity, volatility, and risk-adjusted returns. The research conclusions support formulating differentiated regulatory rules for different behavioral types, rather than uniformly restricting volatility or turnover rates.
Read originalThis study proposes a framework for identifying and quantifying arbitrage opportunities between logically related prediction market contracts, demonstrating that arbitrage exists when prices fall outside the convex hull of feasible return vectors, and solving for the optimal arbitrage portfolio via integer programming. The study recovered 1.9 million logical relationships through semantic analysis of platform metadata and settlement rules, constructing a constraint system covering more than 255,000 contracts.
Read originalThis 16-page paper, accepted by MARBLE 2026, argues that crypto-exchange stock-like perpetual contracts calculate funding rates from the real-time basis and cannot replicate shareholder dividend cash flows for traders entering or exiting at arbitrary times. The authors derive a fair funding-rate identity, convert point-in-time fairness into an optimal stopping condition, and use measure theory to show that predictable dividends are atomic events. Absolutely continuous funding-rate paths cannot replicate this atom over a holding interval and must be matched with discrete event credits.
Read originalAntonis Ballis and Christos Ioannidis released a working paper on arXiv, using a sample of all 8,970 crypto assets and 690 weekly cross-sections from 2013 to 2026 to directly observe asset entry, exit, and survival, and to test the weak-form efficiency symmetry constraints of the Markov chain for the crypto asset market capitalization distribution.
Read originalThe Bank for International Settlements released Working Paper No. 1385, which compares the total costs of three cross-border payment channels: traditional correspondent banking and SWIFT-based bank transfers, fintech remittance operators such as Wise and Remitly, and stablecoin transfers. The study combines intraday fintech pricing, World Bank remittance data, bank transfer transactions, and crypto market data to construct comparable cost indicators across currencies and remittance sizes, distinguishing between foreign exchange markups and explicit fees.
Read originalWall Street experienced market panic on Friday, with trading data for VIX and Bitcoin indicating that the panic may subside on Monday.
Read originalKraken Pro has launched the Unified Wallet feature for clients in the European Economic Area (EEA), which combines spot, margin, Earn, and futures account balances into a unified collateral pool that can be used directly for futures trading without manual fund transfers.
Read originalA judge rejected the application by the CFTC and Gemini to vacate the $5 million settlement agreement. The incident was reported by TradingView, with publicly available text not mentioning the specific dispute underlying the settlement agreement.
Read originalA judge rejected the application filed by Gemini and the CFTC to vacate a $5 million settlement. This event involves regulatory settlement disputes between cryptocurrency platform Gemini and the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Read originalNautilusTrader 2.0.0rc7 was released on October 15 (UTC), removing Python 3.12 support and adding compatibility with Python 3.13 and 3.14. This update adds features such as negative price support for futures, local calendar-based scheduled dispatch, batch order book incremental replay, and CME Globex option candidate IDs, while also including multiple breaking changes to interfaces and configurations.
Read originalPrediction markets are paving the way for crypto price downturns. This content comes from a related report by CoinMarketCap.
Read originalBinance has completed the restoration of its spot API documentation. This update only adjusted the formatting of the spot exchange terms of use in the documentation, without modifying the substantive content of the terms. The documentation clearly reminds users that Binance products and services are subject to the product terms of use, and users should carefully read these terms before use.
Read originalQuantocracy released its latest roundup of quantitative research links on October 14, 2026, featuring multiple research pieces and content related to the quantitative field. These include an out-of-sample evaluation study of Hidden Markov Model (HMM) market state identification, an analysis of the impact of complexity on strategy performance, and research on cross-sectional momentum ranking methods. The related research covers backtest results across different sample periods and discussions of strategy logic.
Read originalDeribit will reduce taker fees for perpetual contracts and futures for VIP4 to VIP7 tier traders on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 UTC, with reductions ranging from 0.10 to 0.30 basis points across tiers. The new fees will take effect automatically with no additional action required from traders, and can be viewed in Deribit accounts. The complete fee schedule, VIP eligibility requirements, and applicable conditions can be found on the fees page in the Deribit knowledge base.
Read originalThis research paper, published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), is based on the credit theory of money. Starting from payment as a fundamental monetary behavior, it outlines four core tensions in the operation of the monetary system and proposes that money is essentially an institutional achievement sustained by trust. The paper applies this framework to the analysis of gold, Bitcoin, and stablecoins. The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or its member central banks.
Read originalThe CFTC has released proposed rules for "Regulation of Crypto Asset Trading" and "Regulation of Crypto Asset Markets," clarifying that, except for compliant payment stablecoins as defined by the GENIUS Act, other crypto assets generally meet the definition of commodities under the Commodity Exchange Act.
Read originalKraken Futures has launched a futures challenge with rewards of up to 5 million USDG, running from October 12 to December 10, 2026 (UTC).
Read originalKraken officially launched ZCHF deposit, withdrawal and trading services on October 8, 2026. ZCHF is a decentralized over-collateralized stablecoin pegged to the Swiss franc, issued on the Ethereum mainnet and bridged via Chainlink CCIP to multiple public blockchains including Arbitrum and Avalanche. Trading is currently supported only on Kraken's web platform; the app and instant buy features will be enabled once liquidity thresholds are met, and access may be restricted in some regions.
Read originalKraken opened deposits, withdrawals, and spot trading for Sui Dollar (USDsui) on October 5, 2026. Users must deposit tokens to a network supported by Kraken, otherwise assets will be lost.
Read originalKraken opened PNT deposits and trading on October 5, 2026. Users must deposit PNT to a network supported by Kraken, otherwise assets will be lost. PNT is the native token of Pheasant Network, an AI-powered DeFi super app, and is planned for use in fee discounts, protocol fee payments, governance participation, and ecosystem feature access. PNT trading on the Kraken App and instant purchase channels will open once liquidity meets requirements, and regional restrictions may apply.
Read originalKraken has added the AKT/USD margin trading pair, with a maximum leverage of 3x and a limit of 72,000 available for both long and short positions. AKT is the native token of Akash Network, a decentralized open-source cloud computing marketplace that rents out idle computing power through a reverse auction mechanism, often used for GPU-intensive workloads such as AI and machine learning. Margin trading requires holding at least one type of collateral, and additional fees apply to opening, closing, and holding positions, with the risk of loss of principal.
Read originalKraken has launched the Pre-IPO Trading Challenge, open to eligible users, running from 00:00 UTC on October 6, 2026 to 23:59 UTC on November 6, 2026, with a total prize pool of 10,000 USDG.
Read originalKraken is running an Atlassian Williams F1 team driver meet-and-greet sweepstakes from October 5 to 22, 2026, during the US Grand Prix. A total of 6 fans can bring one guest each to meet the drivers in person at Circuit of the Americas in Austin.
Read originalOn October 1, 2026, the SEC released proposed rules and amendments to establish a tailored framework for crypto asset custody by registered investment advisers, registered investment companies, and business development companies. The proposal updates custody rules under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and the Investment Company Act of 1940, allowing self-custody of crypto assets under specific circumstances, while permitting state-chartered trust companies to serve as custodians of crypto assets for clients and regulated funds. The public comment period will open for 60 days after the proposal is formally published in the Federal Register.
Read originalTo align with network infrastructure upgrades, OKX will stop accepting WebSocket port 8443 connections from the public internet environment on October 31, 2026, and will stop accepting connections to this port from the Colo environment on November 16, 2026.
Read originalBlock Scholes has released its Week 40 crypto derivatives market analysis report, noting that against a macro backdrop of rising oil prices, the ongoing U.S.-Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff, and deepening U.S. Treasury sell-offs, BTC prices have consolidated in the $82,000 to $84,000 range, while spot BTC and ETH ETFs have recorded net capital inflows for over 7 consecutive days.
Read originalOKX will delist DORA, ICX, STORJ, ZEUS, and ELF spot trading pairs in accordance with the OKX Delisting/Hiding Guidelines and user feedback.
Read originalOKX will delist the AEON/USD spot trading pair at 08:00 UTC on September 30, 2026. Users must cancel any orders related to this trading pair before that time, otherwise the system will automatically cancel unfilled orders. OKX will continue to monitor all listed trading pairs and implement delisting or hiding mechanisms when necessary.
Read originalHummingbot v2.17.0 has been officially released. This update includes multiple new features and bug fixes, covering the addition of the kalshi_perpetual connector, optimization of Gateway routing and slippage mechanisms, and fixes for Hyperliquid private key verification and fee calculation issues. This version has been synced to the main branch, and the full changelog can be viewed in the commit history from v2.16.0 to v2.17.0.
Read originalDeribit has launched the next-generation Starbase matching engine supported by Coinbase. Following a large-scale migration, over 90% of order routing traffic has now been switched to the new system.
Read originalBinance updated its API changelog on 2026-09-18, reminding users that SBE 3:2 mode and FIX SBE 1:0 mode will be deprecated on 2026-09-25. Both modes are being retired 6 months after being marked as deprecated per policy, and the production-facing SBE and FIX SBE lifecycle documentation has been updated accordingly.
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