Skip to main content
arXiv q-fin· Junyu Chen, Franklin Liu, Moshu Xu, Lijian Yang·· 13 hr agoAI Score46

Probabilistic Order Book Forecasting with Conditional Diffusion Models

Probabilistic Limit Order Book Forecasting with Conditional Diffusion Models

AI summary

This study introduces LOBGrad, a conditional DDPM framework for probabilistic order book forecasting. The framework combines an autoregressive RNN encoder with a diffusion-based generator, and establishes an excess-risk oracle inequality for the single-step DDPM noise prediction objective under exponential mixing and regularity assumptions.

Source:arXiv q-fin · arxiv.org

Next steps

Research Column: Backtesting and ValidationWhy backtests look good but fail in live trading, and how to conduct out-of-sample testing.WeChat Community and Contact InformationView official contact details; QR codes will be displayed on the About page once available.Prefer English? Get the research briefing by emailRegister your interest in English research updates on our website.