Fed Governor Waller: The Signal Value of the Summary of Economic Projections and the Logic Behind the September Rate Hike Decision

Fed Governor Waller delivered a speech at the Central Bank of Türkiye, explaining the rationale behind the September FOMC decision to raise the policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, and elaborating on the signaling role of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). He stated that the September rate hike was not based on a single inflation data point, but rather the cumulative result of multiple factors over recent months, including stabilization in the labor market, energy price increases driven by Middle East conflicts, high-tech consumer price increases driven by AI construction, and new tariff risks arising from trade conflicts.