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Public views from researchers and strategists at Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi, HSBC, Barclays, UBS, Nomura, BlackRock, PIMCO and others: macro, rates, FX and market outlooks.
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UBS On-Air Market Moves presents Global Market Perspectives Podcast Episode 74, hosted by Burkhard Varnholt. This episode explores whether equity markets have further upside potential amid rising capital costs as the current bull market turns four years old, while emphasizing the importance of corporate earnings for economic health.
Read originalJ.P. Morgan Global Research released a podcast featuring Abiel Reinhart and Harry Downie discussing the impact of the latest US CPI data on rates markets. Recorded on October 14, 2026, institutional clients can access related reports. Research materials may not be used in third-party AI systems or models without permission.
Read originalUBS's Paul Donovan noted in his daily audio that the latest US inflation data highlights certain established trends: real incomes have stagnated since January 2025, and consumption growth relies on part-time income, a lower savings rate, or drawing down existing savings. Retail sales data released on the same day will further reflect consumers' willingness to use their savings.
Read originalAt Nomura's Research Forum in Bangkok, Thomas Rookmaaker, Head of Asia-Pacific Sovereign Ratings at Fitch, and Erich Arispe, Head of Sovereign Ratings for Eastern Europe, discuss emerging market credit ratings facing multiple shocks.
Read originalUBS's Paul Donovan breaks down China's September inflation data in his daily audio, calling it unremarkable. Food prices (nearly 30% of China's consumer basket) kept CPI muted, and since China is not a major food exporter, this inflation has limited global impact. Chinese consumers do not appear particularly enthusiastic about low inflation.
Read originalOn the Markets in Color podcast, Citi analysts Beata Manthey and David Groman argue that the year-to-date rally in global equities reflects resilience rather than complacency, with macro and earnings backdrops outweighing headwinds from rates, geopolitics, and political risk. For informational purposes only and not investment research or investment advice of any kind.
Read originalTrina Chen, co-head of Greater China equity research at Goldman Sachs, noted in the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast that Chinese exports are expanding rapidly globally, especially in emerging markets. Goldman Sachs research analyzing more than 10 industries shows that Chinese products may have reached a 24% market share in emerging markets, and Chinese companies' local revenue growth could be 15 times that of the local market. When Chinese competition causes corporate revenue to decline by 10%-15%, their market capitalization may shrink by 50% or more.
Read originalKumar Panja, JPMorgan’s Head of EMEA Capital Advisory Group, speaks with two executives from Blackstone’s Multi-Asset Investing business (BXMA) to explore the drivers behind renewed interest in multi-strategy hedge funds. The conversation covers the logic behind building multi-strategy platforms, the key tradeoffs investors are considering, and industry innovation trends such as external separately managed accounts, data, and AI applications. This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
Read originalThis edition of UBS Election Watch looks beyond Washington to two often-overlooked dimensions of the US midterm elections: the impact on other countries and the impact of state and local elections on US policy. Kurt Reiman, Head of Americas Fixed Income at UBS, and Shane Lieberman, Senior Advisor for US Government Affairs, discuss the implications and latest election scenarios, hosted by Daniel Cassidy.
Read originalJapan's working-age population is shrinking, not just aging. The country faces a paradox of a shrinking labor force, rising productivity, growing per capita GDP, and inflation. The article explores possible responses given that the labor shortage cannot be resolved.
Read originalAfter Broadcom's CEO compared the chip industry to a casino, chipmaker stocks experienced volatility. US Treasury Secretary Bessent has previously proven that such analogies carry risks. This market noise has little impact on the global economy, but may affect the economies of South Korea and Taiwan region.
Read originalJason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas at UBS Chief Investment Office, discusses Q3 corporate earnings, September inflation and retail sales data, and the impact of risks such as high interest rates and oil prices on portfolio allocation. Hosted by Daniel Cassidy, this is part of the UBS On-Air Market Moves series.
Read originalPaul Donovan reviews recent developments in the crude oil market in UBS On-Air Daily Audio 'Fast and Furious'. This includes US President Trump announcing a deal with Russian President Putin to buy Russian diesel, Houthi attacks on Riyadh airport in Saudi Arabia, and Trump announcing an 'energy ceasefire' between Russia and Ukraine. Russia then attacked Ukrainian energy facilities, and there are reports that the US threatened to stop selling arms to Ukraine if it attacked Russian energy facilities.
Read originalUBS explores the link between S&P 500 earnings and private capital flows in the UBS On-Air Market Moves program. The content analyzes why AI investment has become a key driver of corporate profits and how private capital is fueling demand for computing power. It also examines whether the current earnings outlook is sustainable.
Read originalClosed-end private credit products raised record amounts in Q2, and the asset class is under scrutiny. Jeff Bracchitta, Head of Private Credit at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins Alternative Realities to discuss how different investors view private credit, the potential impact of higher rates, and the role of private credit in supporting AI-related capital expenditures.
Read originalJPMorgan Global Research has released a global commodities podcast featuring Otar Dgebuadze, European Gas Researcher, discussing the current dynamics in oil and gas markets. LNG tanker transits are at their highest level since March, and Qatar's liquefaction capacity utilization has reached its highest level since the outbreak of the conflict. The podcast was recorded on October 9, 2026, and the related research report is available exclusively to institutional clients.
Read originalThe J.P. Morgan Global FX Strategy Team breaks down the impact of Brazil's first-round election on the Brazilian Real in a podcast, while also exploring the euro outlook and the logic behind potential rotation of funding currencies among G10 currencies against the backdrop of still-high European rate spreads. This podcast was recorded on October 9, 2026, and is for informational purposes only.
Read originalMarc Lipschultz, co-CEO of Blue Owl Capital, joined UBS's 'Talking Markets' podcast to share his views on how the private credit market landscape will evolve in 2026. He also discussed Blue Owl's investment opportunities in real assets, including digital infrastructure, and the role financial advisors should play in the 'age of the advisor.'
Read originalThis episode of UBS On-Air focuses on key Senate races and polling trends as the US midterm elections approach, while also reviewing major cases on the Supreme Court's new docket. It also covers US officials' responses to reports on public health in Siberia. Shane Lieberman, Senior Advisor for US Government Affairs, joins the discussion. Hosted by Daniel Cassidy.
Read originalPaul Donovan explains in the UBS On-Air daily audio that US President Trump's social media account claimed the US would not attack Iran before the midterm elections, while other war parties may still launch attacks. This statement reflects concerns about the political cost of war, reigniting market optimism bias, and political costs are expected to shift after the midterm elections.
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