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Show onlyFirst-hand#Federal Reserve
19 OctMon
  1. Bank for International Settlements BIS: Research papers48

    Analysis of Inflation Impact After the Iran Conflict

    The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) released a research paper assessing the impact of the Iran conflict on inflation in the euro area, the United Kingdom, and the United States. As of May 2026, the conflict is expected to push up inflation in these regions by a combined 1.5 to 2 percentage points in 2026 and 2027, with rising inflation expectations potentially contributing an additional 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points. The scale and duration of this inflation shock are smaller than those of the 2021-2024 inflation crisis, and long-term inflation expectations remain broadly stable.

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15 OctThu
  1. Federal Reserve: Speeches55

    Fed Governor Bowman Delivers Remarks on Regulatory Modernization After Silicon Valley Bank Failure

    Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman delivered remarks presenting preliminary findings from an independent review of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failure that she commissioned, along with directions for advancing regulatory modernization. The review found that supervisors identified SVB's interest rate and liquidity risks at least nine months before the bank was taken over, but failed to act promptly due to long-standing ambiguity in decision-making authority and a lack of accountability mechanisms. Between 2019 and SVB's failure, the bank had 54 supervisory matters requiring attention or immediate attention, yet none required it to address its core financial risks.

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14 OctWed
  1. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy22

    Federal Reserve Board Releases Minutes of Discount Rate Meetings for August 17, September 9, and September 16, 2026

    On October 13, 2026, the Federal Reserve Board released the minutes of its discount rate meetings held on August 17, September 9, and September 16, 2026. The minutes disclose the Board's deliberations and determination of the discount rate provided to depository institutions through the discount window. This rate-setting process is independent of the Federal Open Market Committee's process for setting the target range for the federal funds rate.

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8 OctThu
  1. Federal Reserve: Speeches55

    Fed Governor Waller: The Signal Value of the Summary of Economic Projections and the Logic Behind the September Rate Hike Decision

    Fed Governor Waller delivered a speech at the Central Bank of Türkiye, explaining the rationale behind the September FOMC decision to raise the policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, and elaborating on the signaling role of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). He stated that the September rate hike was not based on a single inflation data point, but rather the cumulative result of multiple factors over recent months, including stabilization in the labor market, energy price increases driven by Middle East conflicts, high-tech consumer price increases driven by AI construction, and new tariff risks arising from trade conflicts.

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  2. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy31

    Federal Reserve Releases Minutes of the September 15-16, 2026 FOMC Meeting

    The Federal Reserve released the minutes of the September 15-16, 2026 FOMC meeting on October 7, 2026. The minutes are based solely on information available to the Committee at the time of the meeting. Regular FOMC meeting minutes are typically released three weeks after the policy decision announcement, and are available in HTML or PDF format on the Federal Reserve Board's website.

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6 OctTue
  1. Federal Reserve: Speeches52

    Fed Governor Bowman Delivers Speech, Announces Restructuring of Bank Supervision Functions and Modernization of Supervisory Framework

    Fed Governor and Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman delivered a speech at the Community Banking Research Conference, announcing that the Fed will reorganize its existing supervisory functions into five regions along state boundaries, with each region led by a regional director overseeing all supervisory activities, to address prior mismatches in supervisory authority and responsibilities and slow committee processes.

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2 OctFri
  1. Federal Reserve: Speeches64

    Fed's Bowman on eSLR Regulatory Modernization: Preliminary Observations on Treasury Market Liquidity Improvements Following New Rule Implementation

    Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman delivered remarks sharing preliminary assessments following the implementation of the eSLR rule finalized in November 2025.

    Key Takeaways:Understand the calibration logic behind eSLR's shift from a fixed 2% buffer to 50% of GSIB method-1 surcharge capital, and its impact on the balance sheet capacity of Treasury market dealers.

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  2. Federal Reserve: Speeches51

    Fed Governor Jefferson Delivers Speech: U.S. Economic Resilience Persists, Upside Inflation Risks Dominate

    Fed Governor Jefferson delivered a speech at the University of Virginia, outlining his assessment of the U.S. economy and monetary policy. In the first half of this year, U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.4%, roughly in line with the growth rate over the past two years, with AI-related investment being the main support for business investment. The unemployment rate stood at 4.1% in August, close to the maximum employment level.

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1 OctThu
  1. Federal Reserve: Speeches48

    Waller: The Data Version of Godzilla x Kong — FRED vs. AI

    Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller reviewed the history of FRED in a speech, calling it the most valuable public good built by the Federal Reserve. FRED now hosts over 850,000 data series and reached 18 million unique users in 2025. He also noted that AI introduces risks such as incorrect data citations and interpretive bias. FRED traffic is currently growing at an annual rate of 150%, with roughly half of visits coming from AI agents. FRED has launched the FRED MCP Connector, allowing users to retrieve data through their preferred AI agents.

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  2. Federal Reserve: Speeches47

    Fed Governor Lisa Cook: The Dual Mission in Rural America

    Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook delivered remarks at the first nationwide Investing in Rural America conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. She noted that rural labor markets broadly track national trends, but with lower labor force participation and slower employment growth than urban areas in recent years. Rural inflation has largely aligned with national trends, though cost-of-living increases outpaced urban areas during the post-pandemic recovery, with energy and housing costs as the primary sources of divergence.

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30 SeptWed
  1. OpenBB：GitHub Releases60

    OpenBB V5 Released: License Changed to Apache-2.0, Core, CLI, and Most Providers Upgraded to 2.0

    OpenBB has released the V5 major version line. The openbb meta-package is at 5.0.0, while the core, CLI, API, MCP server, router, and most providers are at 2.0.0. openbb-devtools is at 2.0.1, openbb-charting is at 4.0.0, and openbb-imf is at 3.0.0.

    Key Takeaways:OpenBB V5 changes the license to Apache-2.0 and migrates to hatchling/uv packaging, a layered openbb.toml configuration, and a CLI 2.0 spec file mechanism. These changes can be used to evaluate upgrade paths and available data sources.

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  2. Federal Reserve: Speeches43

    Fed Governor Waller: Payments in the Age of AI Agents

    Fed Governor Waller delivered a speech at the Sibos conference, focusing on the current state and potential impact of AI technology applications in the payments sector. He noted that AI can improve the efficiency of compliance screening for cross-border payments, optimize payment routing and foreign exchange conversion decisions, and also analyzed the two mainstream models and development prospects of agentic commerce driven by AI agents.

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17 SeptThu
  2. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy39

    Federal Reserve Board and FOMC Release Economic Projections from September 15-16 FOMC Meeting

    The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee have released economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with related tables and charts published at 2:00 p.m. ET. The projection materials are available in PDF format, accompanied by accessible versions. Media inquiries can be directed to the designated email address or contact phone number.

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  3. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy57

    The Federal Reserve's FOMC unanimously voted on September 16 to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, lifting the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%-4%.

    The Federal Reserve released its FOMC monetary policy statement on September 16, 2026, deciding by a unanimous vote of 12 in favor and 0 against to raise the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, in support of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate objectives.

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11 SeptFri
  1. Aswath Damodaran：Musings on Markets60

    Damodaran: Re-examining the Relationship Between Rising Interest Rates and Stock Prices in 2026

    NYU Professor Aswath Damodaran reviews the backdrop of rising U.S. Treasury yields in 2026, noting that the 10-year Treasury yield rose from 4.18% at the start of the year to 4.75% by the end of August, while 20-year and 30-year Treasury yields surpassed 5% during the year. He also compares the long-term trend of U.S. Treasury yields since 1962, as well as concurrent changes in government bond yields across multiple currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound.

    Key Takeaways:One can learn to construct an intrinsic risk-free rate using the inflation rate plus real GDP growth, and combine it with changes in corporate cash flows to break down the differentiated impact of rising interest rates on stock valuations across industries.

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26 AugWed
  1. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy30

    Federal Reserve Board Releases Minutes of Discount Rate Meetings Held on July 20 and July 29, 2026

    On August 25, 2026, the Federal Reserve Board released the minutes of its discount rate meetings held on July 20 and July 29, 2026, covering the review and determination of the discount rate offered to depository institutions through the discount window. The process for setting this discount rate is independent of the Federal Open Market Committee's process for setting the target range for the federal funds rate.

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20 AugThu
  1. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy26

    Federal Reserve Releases Minutes of July 28-29, 2026 FOMC Meeting

    The Federal Reserve released the minutes of the July 28-29, 2026 FOMC monetary policy meeting on August 19, 2026. The minutes were prepared based on the economic and financial information available to the Committee at the time of the meeting. FOMC regular meeting minutes are typically released three weeks after the policy decision is made. The minutes are available on the Federal Reserve Board's website in both HTML and PDF formats.

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30 JulThu
  1. Aswath Damodaran：Musings on Markets54

    Aswath Damodaran: Disclosure and Timing – The Earnings Guidance Game

    Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University's Stern School of Business, wrote an article analyzing the SEC's proposal to replace quarterly reports with semi-annual reports alongside new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's proposal to reduce forward guidance, arguing that both are essentially reducing the amount of public information that markets have become accustomed to receiving.

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15 JulWed
  1. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy31

    Federal Reserve Board Releases Minutes of Discount Rate Meetings Held on June 8 and June 17, 2026

    On July 14, 2026, the Federal Reserve Board released the minutes of its discount rate meetings held on June 8 and June 17, 2026, covering the review and determination of the discount rate offered to depository institutions through the discount window. The process for setting this discount rate is independent of the Federal Open Market Committee's process for setting the target range for the federal funds rate.

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7 JanWed
  1. Bridgewater: Research & Insights55

    Bridgewater Research: The Macroeconomic Impact of the AI Capital Spending Boom

    Bridgewater released a research report on January 7, 2026, estimating that AI capital spending will contribute about 140 basis points to U.S. GDP growth in 2026 and about 150 basis points in 2027, a scale comparable to the contribution of business investment to growth during the dot-com bubble.

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22 SeptMon
  1. Bridgewater: Research & Insights52

    Bridgewater: Inflation Risks Enter a New Era of Structural Uptrend

    Bridgewater released a research report, arguing that the inflation center in the post-pandemic era has risen compared with that before the pandemic, 2% is more like a bottom than an upper limit, and the distribution of inflation outcomes is wider and skewed upward. The report compares the current environment with that in the 2010s, pointing out that restraining factors such as China's export of low-priced goods, shale oil production, and post-crisis deleveraging have weakened; while the medium-term expansion deficit of about 7% of US GDP, the compromised independence of the Federal Reserve, tariffs and trade restructuring, potential depreciation of the US dollar, and AI power and commodity demand constitute structural inflationary pressures.

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10 SeptTue
  1. Bridgewater: Research & Insights45

    Bridgewater Research: Is the AI Bubble Ahead of Us or Behind Us?

    The Bridgewater research team believes the AI bubble has not yet arrived, noting that the transformative technology and mature macro monetary environment needed to fuel a major bubble are already in place. This view addresses market concerns about AI valuations, commercialization, and slowing technological progress, while also highlighting risks of AI misuse and regulatory uncertainty. Bridgewater established AIA Labs in early 2023 with the goal of building a fully AI-driven investor that can outperform humans.

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