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Research Directions

Macro and Interest Rates Latest Activity

How interest rates, inflation, and central-bank policy transmit to various asset classes.

272 related activitiesLast 30 days 119 itemsFeatured among them 5 items

Updated

Activity Archive · Page 5 页

8 OctThuIssue 81–100 items
  1. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves33

    UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Policy-Induced Recession Risk'

    In his UBS On-Air daily audio, Paul Donovan notes that crude and diesel prices have risen, with uncertainty over whether last week's commitment to release diesel reserves merely confirmed previously announced releases, and bond and equity markets reacted negatively. If central banks attempt to offset oil-shock-driven inflation with aggressive restrictive policy, they would need to create a recession or near-recession in the non-oil economy — an outcome that is unfavorable for both bonds and equities.

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  2. Federal Reserve: Monetary Policy31

    Federal Reserve Releases Minutes of the September 15-16, 2026 FOMC Meeting

    The Federal Reserve released the minutes of the September 15-16, 2026 FOMC meeting on October 7, 2026. The minutes are based solely on information available to the Committee at the time of the meeting. Regular FOMC meeting minutes are typically released three weeks after the policy decision announcement, and are available in HTML or PDF format on the Federal Reserve Board's website.

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7 OctWed
  1. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves26

    UBS Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Managing Expectations': Analysis of the Political Costs of the Gulf War and U.S. Gasoline Tax Policy Impacts

    UBS Paul Donovan noted in the daily audio 'Managing Expectations' that the political costs of the Gulf War have emerged, with U.S. President Trump proposing to eliminate the federal gasoline tax. Gasoline prices are directly included in U.S. consumer price calculations; even if the bill passes, a less than 19% per-gallon reduction would barely offset the more than $1.25 per gallon increase since the war began. Sensitivity to political costs may drive optimism in the U.S. toward reaching an agreement with Iran.

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  2. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves24

    Fixed Income Conversation with Mike Cudzil of PIMCO and Leslie Falconio of UBS CIO

    UBS On-Air Market Moves presents a Fixed Income Conversation featuring Mike Cudzil, Managing Director and Generalist Portfolio Manager at PIMCO, and Leslie Falconio, Head of Americas Taxable Fixed Income Strategy at UBS Chief Investment Office. Recorded at PIMCO's studio in Newport Beach, California, the discussion explores the current interest rate environment, monetary policy trajectory, bond issuance implications, and the broader fixed income landscape, hosted by Daniel Cassidy.

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  3. Citi: Research @ Citi27

    Citi Markets Podcast: Volatility Is Also on the Rise

    In the Citi Markets podcast, Dirk Willer and Adam Pickett argue that rising fixed income volatility is increasing the risk that equities and other risk assets will start to take rising interest rates more seriously. They also note that such spikes in volatility tend to be short-lived. This podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment research or any investment advice.

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6 OctTue
  1. English translation is being prepared.19

    J.P. Morgan Global Research Podcast Focuses on Critical Chemicals

    J.P. Morgan Global Research released a podcast focused on critical chemicals, featuring Samantha Azzarello in conversation with Grant Harris and Steven Palacio from the Industry & Policy Thematic Research team. They explore the fundamentals of critical chemicals, their importance to both the U.S. and China, and relevant cautionary lessons. Recorded on October 1, 2026, institutional clients can access the accompanying research report.

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  2. Federal Reserve: Speeches52

    Fed Governor Bowman Delivers Speech, Announces Restructuring of Bank Supervision Functions and Modernization of Supervisory Framework

    Fed Governor and Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman delivered a speech at the Community Banking Research Conference, announcing that the Fed will reorganize its existing supervisory functions into five regions along state boundaries, with each region led by a regional director overseeing all supervisory activities, to address prior mismatches in supervisory authority and responsibilities and slow committee processes.

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5 OctMon
  1. Alpha Architect59

    Buying complex retail investment products may not be a good idea: Interpretation of a paper in the Review of Finance

    Alpha Architect interprets the paper "Competition, complexity, and security design: evidence from retail investment products" published in the Review of Finance in 2026. This study takes yield-enhancement products in the Swiss market as a sample and finds that issuers deliberately increase product complexity to weaken price competition when competition intensifies.

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  2. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves22

    Morning Headlines: UBS CIO Strategy Snapshot — Market Déjà Vu

    Jason Draho, Head of Americas Asset Allocation at UBS, interprets the current market environment: U.S. economic data was solid last week, yet interest rates rose again, with yield increases remaining the dominant market narrative. Economic data releases are light this week, and Q3 earnings season begins next week, suggesting macro factors may take a backseat in the near term.

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  3. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves27

    UBS' Paul Donovan Daily Audio: Revisions, resilience, and affordability

    UBS' Paul Donovan says in his daily audio that the US jobs report offered little reliable information for investors, other than a reminder that employment data is often significantly revised. The revised data shows a weaker employment picture than previously thought, with real wage growth adjusted for inflation near zero, and likely negative when adjusted for perceived inflation, which may further reinforce the affordability crisis.

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  4. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves31

    Signal Over Noise: A Fixed Income Perspective on the 1999 Market Analogy

    UBS On-Air's Market Moves explores the parallels and differences between the current AI investment boom and the 1990s internet buildout. Against the backdrop of long-dated U.S. Treasury yields climbing to multi-decade highs, the program analyzes the potential impact of rising term premiums and fiscal dynamics on interest rates and asset allocation.

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3 OctSat
  1. Quantocracy35

    Quantocracy Latest Quantitative Research Link Roundup as of October 2, 2026

    Quantocracy has compiled the latest links related to quantitative research as of October 2, 2026, covering a range of quantitative research topics. These include 897,000 tests conducted on approximately 150 types of trading patterns, an analysis of the impact of 13 oil price surges on U.S. stocks since 1970, a study of asset performance during periods of rising bond yields from 1963 to 2026, and research on an attention factor based on the WallStreetBets herding effect and BERT sentiment.

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  2. JPMorgan: Making Sense25

    September Jobs Report: "When Risks Are Two-Sided, You're in a Good Spot"

    Michael Feroli, JPMorgan Chase's Chief U.S. Economist, breaks down the September jobs report on Making Sense, noting that while job gains came in below expectations, the headline numbers may not tell the full story. He also discusses the report's implications for the Fed's rate-cutting path, incorporating recent comments from FOMC officials and exploring factors that could influence rate-hike forecasts amid cooling inflation.

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  3. English translation is being prepared.24

    JPMorgan Global Commodities Research: The Last 11%

    JPMorgan's Global Commodities Research team recorded a podcast discussing the Strait of Hormuz, copper, and gold. While Middle Eastern crude is flowing again, crude and product prices remain elevated, with diesel particularly tight. High diesel prices, rising real yields, and El Niño are driving conversations around copper and gold.

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  4. English translation is being prepared.17

    JPMorgan Global Research Podcast: FX Spillovers from OATs, US Non-Farm Payrolls Interpretation, and Carry Trade Risks

    JPMorgan Global Research recorded a podcast on October 2, 2026, hosted by Meera Chandan, Patrick Locke, and James Nelligan. The podcast breaks down FX spillovers from OATs and potential hedging solutions, while interpreting key takeaways from the US Non-Farm Payrolls report. This content is for reference only. Institutional clients can access corresponding research reports, and related disclosures are available at designated URLs.

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2 OctFri
  1. English translation is being prepared.24

    Global Rates: Rising Cheapest-to-Deliver Switch Risk in UST and Eurex Futures

    In a JPMorgan Global Research podcast, Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist, and Ipek Ozil, Head of US Rates Derivatives Strategy, discuss the rising cheapest-to-deliver (CTD) switch risk in US Treasury (UST) and Eurex futures, and its implications for hedging demand. The podcast was recorded on October 2, 2026, and is for informational purposes only.

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  2. UBS: UBS On-Air Market Moves22

    UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Labor Market Anomalies'

    In his UBS On-Air daily audio, Paul Donovan notes the wide range of nonfarm payroll estimates for the upcoming U.S. employment report, a phenomenon driven by low survey response rates and structural changes in work patterns that limit the precision of labor market data. Markets broadly expect a decent employment report with stable unemployment.

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